HJK vs Inter Turku — Veikkausliiga result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 11.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
HJK
37%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Inter Turku
36%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a HJK win 36.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a HJK win. Expected goals 1.49–1.44 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (8.5%), 2–1 (8.0%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
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HJK
| 4 Apr | H | vs SJK | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs AC Oulu | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Gnistan | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs KuPS | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Apr | A | vs Inter Turku | 1–1 | D |
Inter Turku
| 4 Apr | H | vs VPS | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Ilves | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Lahti | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | vs HJK | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | HJK (Home · 15 matches) | Inter Turku (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 73.3% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.27 | 2.20 |
Home stats use HJK's home record; away stats use Inter Turku's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.