Gnistan vs Mariehamn — Veikkausliiga forecast, Saturday, 11 July 2026
Veikkausliiga·Saturday, 11 July 2026
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Gnistan
| 4 Apr | H | vs AC Oulu | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | vs KuPS | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs HJK | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Apr | A | vs TPS | 1–1 | D |
| 5 May | H | vs Inter Turku | 2–0 | W |
Mariehamn
| 4 Apr | H | vs TPS | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | A | vs SJK | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Ilves | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | vs Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 2 May | H | vs VPS | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Gnistan (Home · 13 matches) | Mariehamn (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.5% | 46.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 46.2% | 69.2% |
| Clean sheet | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.23 | 3.08 |
Home stats use Gnistan's home record; away stats use Mariehamn's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.