AC Oulu vs SJK — Veikkausliiga result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 12.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
AC Oulu
47%
top pick
Draw
27%
result
SJK
26%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 26.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an AC Oulu win. Expected goals 1.66–1.31 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.4%), 2–1 (11.0%), 1–0 (8.7%). It finished 0–0.
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AC Oulu
| 4 Apr | A | vs Gnistan | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs HJK | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs VPS | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | vs KuPS | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | vs Lahti | 1–2 | L |
SJK
| 8 Sept | A | vs Turku PS | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Apr | A | vs HJK | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs TPS | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Jaro | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | AC Oulu (Home · 13 matches) | SJK (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.5% | 46.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 30.8% | 38.5% |
| Clean sheet | 38.5% | 23.1% |
| Avg goals | 1.92 | 2.23 |
Home stats use AC Oulu's home record; away stats use SJK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.