🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga·Monday, 31 August 2026·16:00

AC Oulu

DWLLW

16:00

6th vs 10th

SJK

LWDLL

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
AC Oulu	2.03	2.03
Draw	3.55	3.55
SJK	3.61	3.61

Metis Forecast

model + market

AC Oulu

47%

Draw

27%

SJK

26%

AC Oulu 1.70 xGexpected goals1.37 xG SJK

AC Oulu win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 63% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.2%).

AC Oulu score at least twice in 52%; SJK in 39%.

1–1 12.2%2–1 11.3%1–0 8.3%2–0 6.8%2–2 6.7%0–0 5.7%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	5.7	4.1	3.9	2.1	0.9	0.4
1	8.3	12.2	5.5	3.1	1.3	0.6
2	6.8	11.3	6.7	2.2	0.9	0.4
3	3.3	5.4	4.5	1.8	0.4	0.2
4	1.2	1.9	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.1
5+	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0

rows = AC Oulu goals · columns = SJK goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score63%

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Over 4.5 goals20%

AC Oulu clean sheet26%

SJK clean sheet17%

AC Oulu score 2+52%

SJK score 2+39%

AC Oulu score 3+24%

Model vs market

Source	AC Oulu	Draw	SJK
Raw Metis model	32%	25%	42%
Market (de-vigged)	47%	27%	26%
Metis Forecast	47%	27%	26%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

AC Oulu

4 Apr	A	vs Gnistan	5–1	W
11 Apr	A	vs HJK	1–0	W
18 Apr	H	vs VPS	1–0	W
22 Apr	A	vs KuPS	2–3	L
25 Apr	A	vs Lahti	1–2	L

SJK

4 Apr	A	vs HJK	0–3	L
10 Apr	H	vs Mariehamn	3–0	W
18 Apr	A	vs TPS	0–2	L
24 Apr	H	vs Jaro	1–1	D
2 May	H	vs Ilves	1–1	D

Head to head

23 May 26

SJKvsAC Oulu

0 – 1

AC Oulu: 1W 0D 0L in last 1

Model context

Stat	AC Oulu (Home)	SJK (Away)
BTTS rate	40.0%	50.0%
Over 2.5 rate	30.0%	50.0%
Clean sheet	40.0%	10.0%
Avg goals	2.10	2.70

Home stats use AC Oulu's home record; away stats use SJK's away record this season.

AC Oulu →SJK →🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga standings & fixtures