AC Oulu vs Inter Turku — Veikkausliiga result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 12.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
AC Oulu
26%
Draw
28%
Inter Turku
46%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Inter Turku win 46.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Inter Turku win. Expected goals 1.05–1.49 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.3%), 0–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (9.2%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
AC Oulu
| 4 Apr | A | vs Gnistan | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs HJK | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs VPS | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | vs KuPS | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | vs Lahti | 1–2 | L |
Inter Turku
| 4 Apr | H | vs VPS | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Ilves | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Lahti | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | vs HJK | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | AC Oulu (Home · 16 matches) | Inter Turku (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 37.5% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 43.8% | 53.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.12 | 2.20 |
Home stats use AC Oulu's home record; away stats use Inter Turku's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.