🇨🇭 Swiss Super League·Tuesday, 1 September 2026·18:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Zurich | 4.62 | 4.62 |
| Draw | 4.69 | 4.69 |
| Young Boys | 1.60 | 1.60 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketZurich
20%
Draw
20%
Young Boys
60%
Zurich 1.25 xGexpected goals2.08 xG Young Boys
Young Boys win 60% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 64% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (12.1%).
Zurich score at least twice in 35%; Young Boys in 63%.
1–2 12.1%1–1 8.7%0–2 8.3%0–1 8.1%1–3 7.3%2–2 5.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 8.7 | 12.1 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
rows = Zurich goals · columns = Young Boys goals · % of simulations
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 8.7 | 12.1 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
rows = Zurich goals · columns = Young Boys goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score64%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Over 4.5 goals24%
Zurich clean sheet11%
Young Boys clean sheet29%
Zurich score 2+35%
Young Boys score 2+63%
Zurich score 3+13%
Model vs market
| Source | Zurich | Draw | Young Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 30% | 24% | 45% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| Metis Forecast | 20% | 20% | 60% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
Young Boys
| 26 Jul | H | vs Sion | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Thun | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Vaduz | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Zurich (Home) | Young Boys (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Zurich's home record; away stats use Young Boys's away record this season.