Zurich vs Young Boys — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 1 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Zurich
19%
Draw
19%
Young Boys
62%
pick · result
Final score
2–4
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Young Boys win 61.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Young Boys win. Expected goals 1.23–2.10 against 2–4 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (12.4%), 1–1 (8.6%), 0–2 (8.5%). It finished 2–4.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 3–2 | W |
Young Boys
| 26 Jul | H | vs Sion | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Thun | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Vaduz | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Basel | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Zurich (Home · 4 matches) | Young Boys (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Zurich's home record; away stats use Young Boys's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.