Young Boys vs Zurich — Swiss Super League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Young Boys
77%
Draw
13%
Zurich
10%
Expected goals
2.93–1.07
Young Boys · Zurich
Young Boys win 77% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9.1%), 3–1 (8.6%), 2–0 (8.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
Those three cover 26% of outcomes; the other 74% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Young Boys score at least twice in 80%; Zurich in 29%.
Scoreline distribution
Zurich goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 5.5 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Rows: Young Boys goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| Market reference | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| Metis Forecast | 77% | 13% | 10% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Young Boys | 1.26 |
| Draw | 6.84 |
| Zurich | 8.29 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Young Boys
| 26 Jul | H | vs Sion | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Thun | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Vaduz | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Basel | 3–3 | D |
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Sept 26 | ZurichvsYoung Boys | 2 – 4 |
Young Boys: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Young Boys (Home · 5 matches) | Zurich (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 5.80 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Young Boys's home record; away stats use Zurich's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.