Young Boys vs Servette — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 12.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Young Boys
57%
pick · result
Draw
22%
Servette
21%
Final score
3–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Young Boys win 57.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Young Boys win. Expected goals 2.28–1.39 against 3–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (9.3%), 1–1 (9.0%), 3–1 (7.0%). It finished 3–2.
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Young Boys
| 26 Jul | H | vs Sion | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Thun | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Vaduz | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Basel | 3–3 | D |
Servette
| 25 Jul | H | vs Basel | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Zurich | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Grasshoppers | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Luzern | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Lugano | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Young Boys (Home · 7 matches) | Servette (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 85.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 85.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 5.57 | 3.17 |
Home stats use Young Boys's home record; away stats use Servette's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.