🇨🇭 Swiss Super League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:30

Young Boys

WWDW

18:30

1st vs 3rd

Basel

WLWW

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Young Boys	1.59	1.59
Draw	4.63	4.63
Basel	5.21	5.21

Metis Forecast

model + market

Young Boys

61%

Draw

20%

Basel

18%

Young Boys 2.11 xGexpected goals1.16 xG Basel

Young Boys win 61% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 62% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (11.4%).

Young Boys score at least twice in 64%; Basel in 32%.

2–1 11.4%1–1 9.3%2–0 8.9%1–0 8.2%3–1 7.4%3–0 5.7%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	4.1	3.2	2.4	1.0	0.3	0.1
1	8.2	9.3	4.7	2.0	0.7	0.2
2	8.9	11.4	5.3	1.9	0.6	0.2
3	5.7	7.4	4.7	1.5	0.4	0.1
4	2.8	3.6	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.1
5+	1.5	2.0	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0

rows = Young Boys goals · columns = Basel goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score62%

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Over 4.5 goals23%

Young Boys clean sheet31%

Basel clean sheet11%

Young Boys score 2+64%

Basel score 2+32%

Young Boys score 3+35%

Model vs market

Source	Young Boys	Draw	Basel
Raw Metis model	49%	24%	27%
Market (de-vigged)	61%	20%	18%
Metis Forecast	61%	20%	18%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Young Boys

26 Jul	H	vs Sion	4–2	W
1 Aug	A	vs Thun	6–0	W
8 Aug	A	vs Lausanne	2–2	D
23 Aug	H	vs Vaduz	4–2	W

Basel

25 Jul	A	vs Servette	1–0	W
1 Aug	H	vs Lausanne	0–1	L
9 Aug	H	vs Thun	4–2	W
22 Aug	A	vs Zurich	2–1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Young Boys (Home)	Basel (Away)
BTTS rate	100.0%	50.0%
Over 2.5 rate	100.0%	50.0%
Clean sheet	0.0%	50.0%
Avg goals	6.00	2.00

Home stats use Young Boys's home record; away stats use Basel's away record this season.

Young Boys →Basel →🇨🇭 Swiss Super League standings & fixtures