🇨🇭 Swiss Super League·Sunday, 30 August 2026·12:00

Sion

LWW

12:00

5th vs 2nd

Lugano

WWW

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Sion	2.24	2.24
Draw	3.40	3.40
Lugano	3.35	3.35

Metis Forecast

model + market

Sion

43%

Draw

28%

Lugano

29%

Sion 1.47 xGexpected goals1.16 xG Lugano

Sion win 43% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 54% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.4%).

Sion score at least twice in 43%; Lugano in 32%.

1–1 13.4%1–0 9.7%2–1 9.2%0–0 8.3%2–0 7.7%0–1 7.2%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	8.3	7.2	4.8	1.9	0.6	0.2
1	9.7	13.4	7.0	2.8	0.8	0.2
2	7.7	9.2	5.3	2.0	0.6	0.2
3	3.7	4.4	2.6	1.0	0.3	0.1
4	1.3	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
5+	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

rows = Sion goals · columns = Lugano goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score54%

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Over 4.5 goals13%

Sion clean sheet31%

Lugano clean sheet23%

Sion score 2+43%

Lugano score 2+32%

Sion score 3+18%

Model vs market

Source	Sion	Draw	Lugano
Raw Metis model	42%	28%	30%
Market (de-vigged)	43%	28%	29%
Metis Forecast	43%	28%	29%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Sion

26 Jul	A	vs Young Boys	2–4	L
2 Aug	H	vs Luzern	3–0	W
9 Aug	H	vs Vaduz	3–2	W

Lugano

26 Jul	H	vs Vaduz	2–1	W
2 Aug	A	vs Grasshoppers	4–1	W
9 Aug	H	vs Zurich	5–0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Sion (Home)	Lugano (Away)
BTTS rate	50.0%	100.0%
Over 2.5 rate	100.0%	100.0%
Clean sheet	50.0%	0.0%
Avg goals	4.00	5.00

Home stats use Sion's home record; away stats use Lugano's away record this season.

Sion →Lugano →🇨🇭 Swiss Super League standings & fixtures