Servette vs Zurich — Swiss Super League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Servette
57%
Draw
22%
Zurich
20%
Expected goals
2.14–1.20
Servette · Zurich
Servette win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10.0%), 2–1 (9.3%), 2–0 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
Those three cover 27% of outcomes; the other 73% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Servette win is 2–1 (9.3%).
Servette score at least twice in 63%; Zurich in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
Zurich goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Rows: Servette goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market reference | 57% | 22% | 20% |
| Metis Forecast | 57% | 22% | 20% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Servette | 1.68 |
| Draw | 4.20 |
| Zurich | 4.54 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Servette
| 25 Jul | H | vs Basel | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Zurich | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Grasshoppers | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Luzern | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Lugano | 0–1 | L |
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 26 | ZurichvsServette | 2 – 1 |
Servette: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Servette (Home · 6 matches) | Zurich (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Servette's home record; away stats use Zurich's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.