Servette vs St. Gallen — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026

Swiss Super League·Sunday, 6 September 2026

0 – 2

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 4.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Servette

42%

top pick

Draw

24%

St. Gallen

34%

result

Final score

0–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave a St. Gallen win 33.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Servette win. Expected goals 1.78–1.58 against 0–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals65%2 scored
Both teams score67%no
Servette clean sheet21%no
St. Gallen clean sheet17%yes
Servette score 2+53%no
St. Gallen score 2+47%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.3083
1X2 Brier score0.6753
Probability on the result33.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–2 (7.7%). It finished 0–2.

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Servette

25 JulHvs Basel0–1L
1 AugAvs Zurich1–2L
8 AugHvs Grasshoppers2–1W
29 AugHvs Luzern1–1D
3 SeptAvs Lugano0–1L

St. Gallen

26 JulHvs Zurich2–1W
2 AugAvs Vaduz3–2W
9 AugHvs Luzern2–2D
30 AugHvs Thun3–4L
2 SeptAvs Grasshoppers0–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatServette
(Home · 6 matches)
St. Gallen
(Away · 6 matches)
BTTS rate50.0%50.0%
Over 2.5 rate50.0%50.0%
Clean sheet16.7%16.7%
Avg goals2.333.33

Home stats use Servette's home record; away stats use St. Gallen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.