Servette vs Luzern — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Servette
51%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
Luzern
25%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 24.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Servette win. Expected goals 1.90–1.31 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (7.3%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Servette
| 25 Jul | H | vs Basel | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Zurich | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Grasshoppers | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Luzern | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Lugano | 0–1 | L |
Luzern
| 25 Jul | H | vs Thun | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Sion | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs St. Gallen | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lausanne | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Servette | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Servette (Home · 4 matches) | Luzern (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Servette's home record; away stats use Luzern's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.