Luzern vs Sion — Swiss Super League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Luzern
35%
Draw
24%
Sion
42%
Expected goals
1.67–1.85
Luzern · Sion
Sion win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9.9%), 1–2 (8.5%), 2–1 (7.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 69% of simulations.
Those three cover 26% of outcomes; the other 74% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Luzern score at least twice in 50%; Sion in 55%.
Scoreline distribution
Sion goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 9.9 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 7.6 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: Luzern goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Luzern | 2.73 |
| Draw | 3.87 |
| Sion | 2.35 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Luzern
| 25 Jul | H | vs Thun | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Sion | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs St. Gallen | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Lausanne | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Servette | 1–1 | D |
Sion
| 26 Jul | A | vs Young Boys | 2–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Luzern | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Vaduz | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Lugano | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Basel | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 2 Aug 26 | SionvsLuzern | 3 – 0 |
Luzern: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Luzern (Home · 5 matches) | Sion (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 4.40 |
Home stats use Luzern's home record; away stats use Sion's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.