Lausanne vs Zurich — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lausanne
47%
top pick
Draw
27%
Zurich
26%
result
Final score
2–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Zurich win 25.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Lausanne win. Expected goals 1.83–1.31 against 2–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (7.0%). It finished 2–3.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Lausanne
| 25 Jul | H | vs Grasshoppers | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Basel | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Young Boys | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Luzern | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Zurich | 2–3 | L |
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Lausanne | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lausanne (Home · 5 matches) | Zurich (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Lausanne's home record; away stats use Zurich's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.