🇨🇭 Swiss Super League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·16:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Lausanne | 1.99 | 1.99 |
| Draw | 3.53 | 3.53 |
| Zurich | 4.02 | 4.02 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketLausanne
49%
Draw
27%
Zurich
24%
Lausanne 1.80 xGexpected goals1.25 xG Zurich
Lausanne win 49% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.6%).
Lausanne score at least twice in 54%; Zurich in 35%.
1–1 12.6%2–1 9.8%1–0 7.6%2–0 7.5%2–2 6.7%1–2 6.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 12.6 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.8 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Lausanne goals · columns = Zurich goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score62%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Lausanne clean sheet28%
Zurich clean sheet16%
Lausanne score 2+54%
Zurich score 2+35%
Lausanne score 3+27%
Model vs market
| Source | Lausanne | Draw | Zurich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Metis Forecast | 49% | 27% | 24% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Lausanne
| 25 Jul | H | vs Grasshoppers | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Basel | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Young Boys | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Luzern | 0–1 | L |
Zurich
| 26 Jul | A | vs St. Gallen | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Servette | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lugano | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Basel | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Lausanne (Home) | Zurich (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Lausanne's home record; away stats use Zurich's away record this season.