Grasshoppers vs Zurich — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026

Swiss Super League·Saturday, 5 September 2026

2 – 2

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 10.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Grasshoppers

36%

Draw

26%

result

Zurich

38%

top pick

Final score

2–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 26.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Zurich win. Expected goals 1.63–1.61 against 2–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals63%4 scored
Both teams score66%yes
Grasshoppers clean sheet20%no
Zurich clean sheet20%no
Grasshoppers score 2+48%yes
Zurich score 2+48%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1366
1X2 Brier score0.8194
Probability on the result26.1%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.6%), 1–2 (8.9%), 2–1 (7.5%). It finished 2–2.

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Grasshoppers

25 JulAvs Lausanne1–1D
2 AugHvs Lugano1–4L
8 AugAvs Servette1–2L
30 AugAvs Vaduz2–5L
2 SeptHvs St. Gallen2–0W

Zurich

26 JulAvs St. Gallen1–2L
1 AugHvs Servette2–1W
9 AugAvs Lugano0–5L
22 AugHvs Basel1–2L
29 AugAvs Lausanne3–2W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatGrasshoppers
(Home · 6 matches)
Zurich
(Away · 6 matches)
BTTS rate66.7%83.3%
Over 2.5 rate66.7%83.3%
Clean sheet16.7%0.0%
Avg goals4.004.50

Home stats use Grasshoppers's home record; away stats use Zurich's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.