Grasshoppers vs Lausanne — Swiss Super League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Grasshoppers
38%
Draw
27%
Lausanne
35%
Expected goals
1.54–1.41
Grasshoppers · Lausanne
Grasshoppers win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–2 (8.6%), 2–1 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Grasshoppers score at least twice in 45%; Lausanne in 41%.
Scoreline distribution
Lausanne goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Grasshoppers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market reference | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Metis Forecast | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 2.50 |
| Draw | 3.54 |
| Lausanne | 2.74 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Grasshoppers
| 25 Jul | A | vs Lausanne | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Lugano | 1–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Servette | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Vaduz | 2–5 | L |
| 2 Sept | H | vs St. Gallen | 2–0 | W |
Lausanne
| 25 Jul | H | vs Grasshoppers | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Basel | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Young Boys | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Luzern | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Zurich | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 25 Jul 26 | LausannevsGrasshoppers | 1 – 1 |
Grasshoppers: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Grasshoppers (Home · 5 matches) | Lausanne (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 16.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 16.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 1.33 |
Home stats use Grasshoppers's home record; away stats use Lausanne's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.