Mjallby vs Goteborg — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 7 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Mjallby
41%
top pick
Draw
27%
Goteborg
32%
result
Final score
1–4
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Goteborg win 31.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Mjallby win. Expected goals 1.70–1.36 against 1–4 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–2 (8.5%), 2–1 (7.5%). It finished 1–4.
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Mjallby
| 4 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Orgryte | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | vs GAIS | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Halmstad | 2–0 | W |
Goteborg
| 6 Apr | A | vs Elfsborg | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Hacken | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Halmstad | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | A | vs Kalmar | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | H | vs GAIS | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Mjallby (Home · 14 matches) | Goteborg (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 28.6% | 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 35.7% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.36 | 3.64 |
Home stats use Mjallby's home record; away stats use Goteborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.