Mjallby vs GAIS — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Mjallby
35%
Draw
27%
GAIS
38%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a GAIS win 38.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a GAIS win. Expected goals 1.32–1.34 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.7%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (9.0%). It finished 0–3.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Mjallby
| 4 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Orgryte | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | vs GAIS | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Halmstad | 2–0 | W |
GAIS
| 6 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Malmo FF | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Mjallby | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Mjallby (Home · 14 matches) | GAIS (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 28.6% | 46.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 35.7% | 46.2% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 30.8% |
| Avg goals | 2.36 | 2.69 |
Home stats use Mjallby's home record; away stats use GAIS's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.