Kalmar
vs
12:00
13th vs 16th
Orgryte
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Kalmar | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Draw | 4.63 | 4.63 |
| Orgryte | 5.41 | 5.41 |
Match preview
Kalmar host struggling Orgryte in a clash between two sides battling relegation concerns. The home side's form is inconsistent—alternating wins and losses across their last five—but their home record shows defensive solidity with just 0.8 goals conceded per match, well below the league average. Orgryte's away form has been dire, winless in five with a concerning 3.2 goals conceded on the road, suggesting they'll struggle to contain Kalmar's attacks.
The data points to a tight, low-scoring encounter. Kalmar's BTTS rate at home sits at 60% but their Over 2.5 sits well below the league average at 40%, indicating defensive resilience. Orgryte's attacking impotence away from home—averaging just 0.6 goals scored—combined with their defensive fragility creates an interesting tension. This looks tighter than the league's goal-heavy trend would suggest, though Kalmar's home advantage and Orgryte's away struggles should favor the hosts in a potentially cagey affair.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Kalmar
| 5 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Djurgarden | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs AIK | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Goteborg | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Elfsborg | 2–1 | W |
Orgryte
| 5 Apr | H | vs Malmo FF | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 1–8 | L |
| 22 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Degerfors | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Kalmar (Home) | Orgryte (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.20 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Kalmar's home record; away stats use Orgryte's away record this season.