Kalmar vs Hacken — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kalmar
34%
Draw
26%
Hacken
40%
pick · result
Final score
0–5
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Hacken win 40.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Hacken win. Expected goals 1.30–1.42 against 0–5 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (9.0%). It finished 0–5.
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Kalmar
| 5 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Djurgarden | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs AIK | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Goteborg | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Elfsborg | 2–1 | W |
Hacken
| 6 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | H | vs GAIS | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Vasteras SK | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Sirius | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kalmar (Home · 13 matches) | Hacken (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.5% | 30.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Clean sheet | 15.4% | 61.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.69 | 2.62 |
Home stats use Kalmar's home record; away stats use Hacken's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.