Halmstad vs Djurgarden — Swedish Allsvenskan forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Halmstad
12%
Draw
17%
Djurgarden
71%
Expected goals
0.74–2.10
Halmstad · Djurgarden
Djurgarden win 71% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13.5%), 0–1 (12.6%), 1–2 (10.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 46% of simulations.
Those three cover 37% of outcomes; the other 63% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Halmstad score at least twice in 17%; Djurgarden in 63%.
Scoreline distribution
Djurgarden goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| 1 | 3.9 | 8.0 | 10.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 2 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Halmstad goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Market reference | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| Metis Forecast | 12% | 17% | 71% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Halmstad | 7.14 |
| Draw | 5.38 |
| Djurgarden | 1.36 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 04 Nov · 04:44 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Halmstad
| 5 Apr | A | vs AIK | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Degerfors | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Goteborg | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–2 | L |
Djurgarden
| 6 Apr | A | vs GAIS | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Kalmar | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | H | vs Malmo FF | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Elfsborg | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Hammarby | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 13 Jul 26 | DjurgardenvsHalmstad | 3 – 0 |
Halmstad: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Halmstad (Home · 13 matches) | Djurgarden (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.5% | 30.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 38.5% | 30.8% |
| Clean sheet | 15.4% | 61.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.38 | 2.23 |
Home stats use Halmstad's home record; away stats use Djurgarden's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.