Hacken vs Mjallby — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 11 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 13.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Hacken
61%
top pick
Draw
21%
result
Mjallby
18%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 21.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Hacken win. Expected goals 1.92–1.15 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (13.8%), 1–0 (10.6%), 1–1 (9.7%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Hacken
| 6 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | H | vs GAIS | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Vasteras SK | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Sirius | 2–2 | D |
Mjallby
| 4 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Orgryte | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | vs GAIS | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Halmstad | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Hacken (Home · 14 matches) | Mjallby (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 64.3% | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.3% | 53.8% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 7.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.14 | 3.08 |
Home stats use Hacken's home record; away stats use Mjallby's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.