GAIS vs Hacken — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
GAIS
41%
top pick
Draw
26%
result
Hacken
33%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 26.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a GAIS win. Expected goals 1.55–1.28 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–2 (8.5%), 2–1 (8.1%). It finished 0–0.
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GAIS
| 6 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Malmo FF | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Mjallby | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–2 | D |
Hacken
| 6 Apr | H | vs Brommapojkarna | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | H | vs GAIS | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Vasteras SK | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Apr | H | vs Sirius | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | GAIS (Home · 14 matches) | Hacken (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 28.6% | 30.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 28.6% | 38.5% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 61.5% |
| Avg goals | 1.86 | 2.62 |
Home stats use GAIS's home record; away stats use Hacken's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.