🇸🇪 Swedish Allsvenskan·Monday, 31 August 2026·17:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| GAIS | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Brommapojkarna | 4.93 | 4.93 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketGAIS
58%
Draw
23%
Brommapojkarna
18%
GAIS 1.82 xGexpected goals0.98 xG Brommapojkarna
GAIS win 58% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11.1%).
GAIS score at least twice in 55%; Brommapojkarna in 25%.
1–0 11.1%1–1 11.0%2–1 10.9%2–0 10.4%0–0 6.5%3–1 6.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = GAIS goals · columns = Brommapojkarna goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Over 4.5 goals15%
GAIS clean sheet38%
Brommapojkarna clean sheet15%
GAIS score 2+55%
Brommapojkarna score 2+25%
GAIS score 3+27%
Model vs market
| Source | GAIS | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Metis Forecast | 58% | 23% | 18% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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GAIS
| 6 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Malmo FF | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Mjallby | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–2 | D |
Brommapojkarna
| 6 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | H | vs AIK | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Orgryte | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Jul 26 | BrommapojkarnavsGAIS | 1 – 1 |
GAIS: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | GAIS (Home) | Brommapojkarna (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 22.2% | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 22.2% | 88.9% |
| Clean sheet | 55.6% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.78 | 3.33 |
Home stats use GAIS's home record; away stats use Brommapojkarna's away record this season.