GAIS vs Brommapojkarna — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 13.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
GAIS
58%
pick · result
Draw
23%
Brommapojkarna
19%
Final score
4–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a GAIS win 58.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a GAIS win. Expected goals 1.80–0.99 against 4–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (11.4%), 2–1 (11.3%), 1–1 (11.1%). It finished 4–0.
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GAIS
| 6 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Malmo FF | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Mjallby | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–2 | D |
Brommapojkarna
| 6 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | H | vs AIK | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Orgryte | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | GAIS (Home · 11 matches) | Brommapojkarna (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 18.2% | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 27.3% | 90.9% |
| Clean sheet | 63.6% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.82 | 3.45 |
Home stats use GAIS's home record; away stats use Brommapojkarna's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.