Sirius arrive at Djurgarden in remarkable shape, sitting top of Allsvenskan with four wins from their last five away from home. That away record is exceptional, and the underlying numbers back it up — Sirius have gone over 2.5 goals in every single away match this season, well above the league average of 58%, averaging 2.7 goals scored per game on the road. This is a side that creates and concedes, with BTTS landing in two thirds of their away fixtures.

Djurgarden at home have been more of a mixed picture, winning two of their last five with a defensive record that looks reasonably solid at 1.0 conceded per game. However, their BTTS and over 2.5 rates of 50% each sit below the league average, suggesting they can be a little subdued at home.

With Sirius carrying such consistent attacking output on the road, the data suggests this game has genuine goal potential. The table-toppers look undervalued here, and this looks like a looser, more open contest than a home fixture might typically imply.