Djurgarden vs GAIS — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Djurgarden
65%
pick · result
Draw
21%
GAIS
14%
Final score
2–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Djurgarden win 64.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Djurgarden win. Expected goals 2.19–1.00 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (10.7%), 2–0 (10.0%), 1–1 (9.7%). It finished 2–0 — one of them.
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Djurgarden
| 6 Apr | A | vs GAIS | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Kalmar | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | H | vs Malmo FF | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Elfsborg | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Hammarby | 1–1 | D |
GAIS
| 6 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Malmo FF | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs Mjallby | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Goteborg | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Djurgarden (Home · 14 matches) | GAIS (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 46.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 78.6% | 46.2% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 30.8% |
| Avg goals | 3.64 | 2.69 |
Home stats use Djurgarden's home record; away stats use GAIS's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.