Degerfors sit seventh but their home record carries a sting in the tail — they are conceding 1.7 goals per game at home while failing to keep a single clean sheet all season. That vulnerability has driven their home Over 2.5 rate to 67%, well above the league average of 55%, yet the goals have largely been flowing one way given they are averaging just 0.7 scored per home game.

Mjallby arrive in contrasting shape. Their away BTTS rate of 0% and a 50% clean sheet record on the road tells you they are organised and hard to break down travelling from home, though they have contributed almost nothing offensively, averaging zero goals scored away from home this season.

With no head-to-head history to lean on, this is genuinely tricky to call. The data suggests Mjallby's defensive discipline could suffocate a Degerfors attack that has struggled at home, making this a tighter, lower-scoring contest than the league average would imply.