Degerfors vs Halmstad — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Degerfors
50%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Halmstad
23%
Final score
2–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Degerfors win 49.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Degerfors win. Expected goals 1.65–1.11 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.8%), 2–1 (10.2%), 1–0 (9.9%). It finished 2–0.
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Degerfors
| 4 Apr | H | vs Sirius | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Halmstad | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | H | vs Elfsborg | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | vs AIK | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | A | vs Orgryte | 1–1 | D |
Halmstad
| 5 Apr | A | vs AIK | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Degerfors | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Goteborg | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Hammarby | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Degerfors (Home · 13 matches) | Halmstad (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.5% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 53.8% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.46 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Degerfors's home record; away stats use Halmstad's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.