Degerfors have struggled badly at home this season, failing to keep a single clean sheet and conceding an average of two goals per game, which is well above the level you'd expect from a side sitting mid-table. Their home form of one win in five and an attacking return of under a goal per game paints a picture of a team under real pressure at both ends of the pitch.

Brommapojkarna arrive in decent shape, alternating wins and losses on the road but averaging 1.4 goals scored away from home. Crucially, they have also conceded freely, meaning neither side has shown any defensive solidity this term.

With both teams registering BTTS in 60% of their respective matches and Brommapojkarna involved in over 2.5 goals in 80% of their away games — well clear of the league average of 52% — this has the look of an open, goal-friendly contest. The data suggests Brommapojkarna are the more clinical side here and look undervalued as the away team.