Brommapojkarna vs Goteborg — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 9.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Brommapojkarna
33%
Draw
26%
Goteborg
41%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Goteborg win 41.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Goteborg win. Expected goals 1.43–1.54 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (7.8%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Brommapojkarna
| 6 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | H | vs AIK | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Orgryte | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 1–2 | L |
Goteborg
| 6 Apr | A | vs Elfsborg | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Hacken | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Halmstad | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | A | vs Kalmar | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | H | vs GAIS | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Brommapojkarna (Home · 13 matches) | Goteborg (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.5% | 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 46.2% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 23.1% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.31 | 3.64 |
Home stats use Brommapojkarna's home record; away stats use Goteborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.