Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg — Swedish Allsvenskan result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Brommapojkarna
27%
result
Draw
26%
Elfsborg
47%
top pick
Final score
2–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Brommapojkarna win 27.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Elfsborg win. Expected goals 1.27–1.66 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–2 (10.0%), 0–1 (8.4%). It finished 2–1.
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Brommapojkarna
| 6 Apr | A | vs Hacken | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | H | vs AIK | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Mjallby | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | vs Orgryte | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Vasteras SK | 1–2 | L |
Elfsborg
| 6 Apr | H | vs Goteborg | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Vasteras SK | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | A | vs Degerfors | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | H | vs Djurgarden | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | A | vs Kalmar | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Brommapojkarna (Home · 13 matches) | Elfsborg (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.5% | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 46.2% | 61.5% |
| Clean sheet | 23.1% | 15.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.31 | 2.69 |
Home stats use Brommapojkarna's home record; away stats use Elfsborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.