Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Trabzonspor
68%
pick · result
Draw
19%
Genclerbirligi
13%
Final score
5–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Trabzonspor win 68.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Trabzonspor win. Expected goals 2.28–0.85 against 5–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (9.1%). It finished 5–0.
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Trabzonspor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kasimpasa | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Basaksehir | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Amedspor | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
Genclerbirligi
| 15 Aug | H | vs Fenerbahce | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Goztepe | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Trabzonspor | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Kasimpasa | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Trabzonspor (Home · 5 matches) | Genclerbirligi (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 80.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Trabzonspor's home record; away stats use Genclerbirligi's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.