Rizespor vs Alanyaspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 7 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Rizespor
53%
top pick
Draw
27%
Alanyaspor
20%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Alanyaspor win 19.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rizespor win. Expected goals 1.71–0.98 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.1%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–0 (9.7%). It finished 0–1.
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Rizespor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Konyaspor | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Samsunspor | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Gaziantep | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Eyupspor | 2–0 | W |
Alanyaspor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Gaziantep | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Besiktas | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Eyupspor | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Rizespor | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Goztepe | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rizespor (Home · 4 matches) | Alanyaspor (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Rizespor's home record; away stats use Alanyaspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.