Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Konyaspor
27%
result
Draw
25%
Trabzonspor
48%
top pick
Final score
1–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Konyaspor win 27.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Trabzonspor win. Expected goals 1.19–1.63 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–2 (9.7%), 0–1 (9.1%). It finished 1–0.
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Konyaspor
| 15 Aug | H | vs Rizespor | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Fenerbahce | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Kocaelispor | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Erzurumspor | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Trabzonspor | 1–0 | W |
Trabzonspor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kasimpasa | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Basaksehir | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Amedspor | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Konyaspor (Home · 6 matches) | Trabzonspor (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 16.7% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.83 | 3.20 |
Home stats use Konyaspor's home record; away stats use Trabzonspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.