🇹🇷 Süper Lig·Saturday, 29 August 2026·16:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Draw | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| Kocaelispor | 4.34 | 4.34 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketKonyaspor
49%
Draw
29%
Kocaelispor
22%
Konyaspor 1.51 xGexpected goals0.97 xG Kocaelispor
Konyaspor win 49% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.7%).
Konyaspor score at least twice in 45%; Kocaelispor in 25%.
1–1 13.7%1–0 12.0%2–1 9.7%0–0 9.6%2–0 9.5%0–1 6.6%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.7 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Konyaspor goals · columns = Kocaelispor goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Konyaspor clean sheet38%
Kocaelispor clean sheet22%
Konyaspor score 2+45%
Kocaelispor score 2+25%
Konyaspor score 3+19%
Model vs market
| Source | Konyaspor | Draw | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Metis Forecast | 49% | 29% | 22% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Konyaspor
| 10 Aug | A | vs Eyupspor | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Goztepe | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Alanyaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sept | A | vs Galatasaray | 1–3 | L |
Kocaelispor
| 11 Aug | A | vs Trabzonspor | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Samsunspor | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Fenerbahce | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Kayserispor | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Gaziantep | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Mar 26 | KocaelisporvsKonyaspor | 1 – 2 |
| 18 Oct 25 | KonyasporvsKocaelispor | 2 – 3 |
Konyaspor: 1W 0D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Konyaspor (Home) | Kocaelispor (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.9% | 41.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.1% | 29.4% |
| Clean sheet | 35.3% | 17.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.35 | 2.12 |
Home stats use Konyaspor's home record; away stats use Kocaelispor's away record this season.