Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 13.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kasimpasa
39%
top pick
Draw
28%
result
Konyaspor
32%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 28.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Kasimpasa win. Expected goals 1.39–1.24 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 1–0 (9.0%), 2–1 (8.6%). It finished 0–0.
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Kasimpasa
| 15 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Corum | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Basaksehir | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Amedspor | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Genclerbirligi | 2–1 | W |
Konyaspor
| 15 Aug | H | vs Rizespor | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Fenerbahce | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Kocaelispor | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Erzurumspor | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Trabzonspor | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kasimpasa (Home · 5 matches) | Konyaspor (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Kasimpasa's home record; away stats use Konyaspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.