Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 29.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Genclerbirligi
41%
top pick
Draw
30%
Kasimpasa
29%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Kasimpasa win 29.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Genclerbirligi win. Expected goals 1.46–1.25 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.2%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (8.8%). It finished 1–2.
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Genclerbirligi
| 15 Aug | H | vs Fenerbahce | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Goztepe | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Trabzonspor | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Kasimpasa | 1–2 | L |
Kasimpasa
| 15 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Corum | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Basaksehir | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Amedspor | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Genclerbirligi | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Genclerbirligi (Home · 6 matches) | Kasimpasa (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.20 |
Home stats use Genclerbirligi's home record; away stats use Kasimpasa's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.