Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Fenerbahce
82%
pick · result
Draw
12%
Eyupspor
6%
Final score
8–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Fenerbahce win 81.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Fenerbahce win. Expected goals 3.13–0.64 against 8–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 3–0 (11.6%), 2–0 (10.6%), 4–0 (9.6%). It finished 8–0.
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Fenerbahce
| 15 Aug | A | vs Genclerbirligi | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Konyaspor | 4–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Samsunspor | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Besiktas | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Gaziantep | 0–0 | D |
Eyupspor
| 16 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Corum | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Fenerbahce (Home · 5 matches) | Eyupspor (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.60 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Fenerbahce's home record; away stats use Eyupspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.