Eyupspor vs Rizespor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Eyupspor
22%
Draw
26%
Rizespor
53%
pick · result
Final score
0–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rizespor win 52.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rizespor win. Expected goals 1.00–1.68 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (10.8%), 1–2 (9.9%). It finished 0–2.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Eyupspor
| 16 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Corum | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
Rizespor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Konyaspor | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Samsunspor | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Gaziantep | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Eyupspor | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Eyupspor (Home · 5 matches) | Rizespor (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 20.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.20 | 2.17 |
Home stats use Eyupspor's home record; away stats use Rizespor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.