Eyupspor vs Alanyaspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Eyupspor
29%
result
Draw
30%
Alanyaspor
41%
top pick
Final score
2–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Eyupspor win 28.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Alanyaspor win. Expected goals 1.14–1.36 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–1 (10.4%), 0–0 (9.6%). It finished 2–1.
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Eyupspor
| 16 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Corum | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
Alanyaspor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Gaziantep | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Besiktas | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Eyupspor | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Rizespor | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Goztepe | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Eyupspor (Home · 3 matches) | Alanyaspor (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 2.25 |
Home stats use Eyupspor's home record; away stats use Alanyaspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.