🇹🇷 Süper Lig·Sunday, 30 August 2026·16:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor | 3.19 | 3.19 |
| Draw | 3.22 | 3.22 |
| Alanyaspor | 2.34 | 2.34 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketEyupspor
30%
Draw
29%
Alanyaspor
41%
Eyupspor 1.16 xGexpected goals1.36 xG Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor win 41% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.0%).
Eyupspor score at least twice in 32%; Alanyaspor in 40%.
1–1 14.0%0–1 10.2%0–0 9.2%1–2 9.0%1–0 7.8%0–2 7.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.8 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Eyupspor goals · columns = Alanyaspor goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Eyupspor clean sheet25%
Alanyaspor clean sheet32%
Eyupspor score 2+32%
Alanyaspor score 2+40%
Eyupspor score 3+11%
Model vs market
| Source | Eyupspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Metis Forecast | 30% | 29% | 41% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Eyupspor
| 10 Aug | H | vs Konyaspor | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Basaksehir | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Galatasaray | 0–2 | L |
Alanyaspor
| 16 Aug | H | vs Rizespor | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | A | vs Eyupspor | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Besiktas | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Konyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sept | A | vs Fenerbahce | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 31 Jan 26 | AlanyasporvsEyupspor | 1 – 3 |
| 25 Aug 25 | EyupsporvsAlanyaspor | 2 – 1 |
Eyupspor: 2W 0D 0L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Eyupspor (Home) | Alanyaspor (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 41.2% | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| Clean sheet | 29.4% | 11.8% |
| Avg goals | 2.35 | 2.47 |
Home stats use Eyupspor's home record; away stats use Alanyaspor's away record this season.