Virtus Entella vs Cesena — Serie B result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.3 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Virtus Entella
2%
Draw
55%
top pick
Cesena
43%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Cesena win 43.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was the draw. Expected goals 0.78–1.41 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (26.0%), 0–0 (18.0%), 0–1 (12.7%). It finished 1–2.
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Virtus Entella
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sudtirol | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Cesena | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Vicenza | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Pisa | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Cremonese | 0–0 | D |
Cesena
| 23 Aug | H | vs Sampdoria | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Virtus Entella | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Mantova | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Cremonese | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Juve Stabia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Virtus Entella (Home · 2 matches) | Cesena (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Virtus Entella's home record; away stats use Cesena's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.