Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia — Serie B result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.3 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Sampdoria
52%
top pick
Draw
28%
Juve Stabia
20%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Juve Stabia win 19.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Sampdoria win. Expected goals 1.54–0.92 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 1–0 (13.1%), 2–1 (10.3%). It finished 1–2.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Sampdoria
| 23 Aug | A | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Juve Stabia | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Palermo | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Mantova | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Catanzaro | 2–1 | W |
Juve Stabia
| 23 Aug | A | vs Palermo | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Vicenza | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sampdoria (Home · 2 matches) | Juve Stabia (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Sampdoria's home record; away stats use Juve Stabia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.