Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona — Serie B forecast, Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Juve Stabia
32%
Draw
28%
Hellas Verona
41%
Expected goals
1.27–1.33
Juve Stabia · Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona win 41% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.2%), 0–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (10.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Juve Stabia score at least twice in 35%; Hellas Verona in 39%.
Scoreline distribution
Hellas Verona goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 13.2 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Juve Stabia goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 46% | 28% | 27% |
| Market reference | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Metis Forecast | 32% | 28% | 41% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 3.00 |
| Draw | 3.41 |
| Hellas Verona | 2.36 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Juve Stabia
| 23 Aug | A | vs Palermo | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Vicenza | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Juve Stabia (Home · 3 matches) | Hellas Verona (Away · no matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | — |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | — |
Home stats use Juve Stabia's home record; away stats use Hellas Verona's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.