Rangers vs St Mirren — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Rangers
74%
pick · result
Draw
16%
St Mirren
10%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rangers win 74.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rangers win. Expected goals 2.56–0.71 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (11.9%), 3–0 (10.7%), 1–0 (8.4%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.
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Rangers
| 31 Jul | A | vs Dundee Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Motherwell | 1–0 | W |
St Mirren
| 1 Aug | A | vs Falkirk | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | vs St Johnstone | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Motherwell | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Kilmarnock | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Celtic | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rangers (Home · 5 matches) | St Mirren (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 16.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Rangers's home record; away stats use St Mirren's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.