Rangers vs Motherwell — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Rangers
65%
pick · result
Draw
20%
Motherwell
15%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rangers win 65.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rangers win. Expected goals 2.22–0.98 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.4%). It finished 1–0.
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Rangers
| 31 Jul | A | vs Dundee Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Motherwell | 1–0 | W |
Motherwell
| 2 Aug | A | vs Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Falkirk | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs St Mirren | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Sept | H | vs Dundee Utd | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Rangers | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rangers (Home · 3 matches) | Motherwell (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.67 | 3.25 |
Home stats use Rangers's home record; away stats use Motherwell's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.