๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทWednesday, 2 September 2026ยท18:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyMotherwell
61%
Draw
25%
Dundee Utd
14%
Motherwell 1.81 xGexpected goals0.96 xG Dundee Utd
Motherwell win 61% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11.7%).
Motherwell score at least twice in 54%; Dundee Utd in 25%.
1โ1 11.7%1โ0 10.5%2โ0 10.3%2โ1 9.8%0โ0 7.1%3โ0 6.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 11.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Motherwell goals ยท columns = Dundee Utd goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score52%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals15%
Motherwell clean sheet38%
Dundee Utd clean sheet16%
Motherwell score 2+54%
Dundee Utd score 2+25%
Motherwell score 3+27%
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Recent form
Motherwell
| 2 Aug | H | vs Rangers | 1โ1 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs St Mirren | 0โ0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Hearts | 3โ3 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Kilmarnock | 2โ2 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Dundee | 1โ1 | D |
Dundee Utd
| 3 Aug | A | vs Falkirk | 2โ2 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Hearts | 2โ3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Dundee | 2โ0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Hibernian | 3โ3 | D |
| 23 Sept | H | vs Aberdeen | 2โ0 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Feb 26 | MotherwellvsDundee United | 2 โ 0 |
| 13 Dec 25 | Dundee UnitedvsMotherwell | 0 โ 0 |
| 29 Oct 25 | MotherwellvsDundee United | 2 โ 0 |
Motherwell: 2W 1D 0L in last 3
Model context
| Stat | Motherwell (Home) | Dundee Utd (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 36.8% | 63.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 31.6% | 52.6% |
| Clean sheet | 63.2% | 5.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.37 | 3.32 |
Home stats use Motherwell's home record; away stats use Dundee Utd's away record this season.