Metis Football
🏴󠁧󠁒󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish Premiership·Saturday, 29 August 2026·14:00
Kilmarnock
LWWWW

vs

14:00

10th vs 7th

Dundee Utd
WLLDD

Metis Forecast

model only

Kilmarnock

39%

Draw

27%

Dundee Utd

33%

Kilmarnock 1.44 xGexpected goals1.31 xG Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock win 39% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 57% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.0%).

Kilmarnock score at least twice in 42%; Dundee Utd in 38%.

1–1 13.0%2–1 8.7%1–0 8.3%1–2 7.9%0–1 7.4%0–0 7.4%

Scoreline distribution

012345+
07.47.45.52.40.80.3
18.313.07.93.41.10.4
26.78.75.72.50.80.3
33.24.22.71.20.40.1
41.11.51.00.40.10.0
5+0.40.60.40.20.10.0

rows = Kilmarnock goals Β· columns = Dundee Utd goals Β· % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score57%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Kilmarnock clean sheet27%
Dundee Utd clean sheet24%
Kilmarnock score 2+42%
Dundee Utd score 2+38%
Kilmarnock score 3+18%

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Recent form

Kilmarnock

2 AugHvs Livingston2–2D
10 AugAvs Hibernian2–2D
23 AugHvs Dundee0–0D
30 AugAvs Motherwell2–2D
14 SeptHvs Celtic1–2L

Dundee Utd

3 AugAvs Falkirk2–2D
10 AugHvs Hearts2–3L
31 AugAvs Dundee2–0W
13 SeptAvs Hibernian3–3D
23 SeptHvs Aberdeen2–0W

Head to head

2 May 26KilmarnockvsDundee United3 – 0
21 Feb 26Dundee UnitedvsKilmarnock1 – 1
29 Nov 25KilmarnockvsDundee United1 – 1
27 Sept 25Dundee UnitedvsKilmarnock0 – 2

Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 0L in last 4

Model context

StatKilmarnock
(Home)		Dundee Utd
(Away)
BTTS rate47.4%63.2%
Over 2.5 rate63.2%52.6%
Clean sheet31.6%5.3%
Avg goals2.953.32

Home stats use Kilmarnock's home record; away stats use Dundee Utd's away record this season.

Kilmarnock β†’Dundee Utd β†’πŸ΄σ §σ ’σ ³σ £σ ΄σ Ώ Scottish Premiership standings & fixtures