Falkirk vs Rangers — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 15.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Falkirk
20%
Draw
25%
Rangers
55%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rangers win 55.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rangers win. Expected goals 1.09–1.74 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–2 (9.7%), 0–1 (9.4%). It finished 1–2 — one of them.
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Falkirk
| 1 Aug | H | vs St Mirren | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Motherwell | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Celtic | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sept | H | vs Rangers | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Dundee Utd | 1–1 | D |
Rangers
| 31 Jul | A | vs Dundee Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Motherwell | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Falkirk (Home · 3 matches) | Rangers (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 1.75 |
Home stats use Falkirk's home record; away stats use Rangers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.