๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทSunday, 30 August 2026ยท14:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Draw | 3.61 | 3.61 |
| Hibernian | 2.22 | 2.22 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketDundee
30%
Draw
26%
Hibernian
44%
Dundee 1.21 xGexpected goals1.50 xG Hibernian
Hibernian win 44% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (12.6%).
Dundee score at least twice in 34%; Hibernian in 44%.
1โ1 12.6%1โ2 9.4%0โ1 9.4%0โ2 7.6%0โ0 7.4%2โ1 7.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Dundee goals ยท columns = Hibernian goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score55%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Dundee clean sheet22%
Hibernian clean sheet30%
Dundee score 2+34%
Hibernian score 2+44%
Dundee score 3+12%
Model vs market
| Source | Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Metis Forecast | 30% | 26% | 44% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Dundee
| 3 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1โ2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Rangers | 1โ1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Kilmarnock | 0โ0 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Dundee Utd | 0โ2 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Motherwell | 1โ1 | D |
Hibernian
| 3 Aug | A | vs Dundee | 2โ1 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Kilmarnock | 2โ2 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs St Mirren | 1โ1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Dundee Utd | 3โ3 | D |
| 23 Sept | A | vs Falkirk | 2โ2 | D |
Head to head
| 28 Feb 26 | DundeevsHibernian | 3 โ 3 |
| 22 Nov 25 | HibernianvsDundee | 2 โ 0 |
| 3 Aug 25 | DundeevsHibernian | 1 โ 2 |
Dundee: 0W 1D 2L in last 3
Model context
| Stat | Dundee (Home) | Hibernian (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 63.2% | 57.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 68.4% | 57.9% |
| Clean sheet | 21.1% | 15.8% |
| Avg goals | 3.11 | 2.68 |
Home stats use Dundee's home record; away stats use Hibernian's away record this season.