๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทSaturday, 29 August 2026ยท14:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyCeltic
68%
Draw
22%
Falkirk
10%
Celtic 1.98 xGexpected goals0.84 xG Falkirk
Celtic win 68% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (11.7%).
Celtic score at least twice in 59%; Falkirk in 20%.
2โ0 11.7%1โ0 11.0%1โ1 10.7%2โ1 9.8%3โ0 7.7%0โ0 6.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.7 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.7 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Celtic goals ยท columns = Falkirk goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Over 4.5 goals16%
Celtic clean sheet43%
Falkirk clean sheet14%
Celtic score 2+59%
Falkirk score 2+20%
Celtic score 3+32%
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Recent form
Celtic
| 3 Aug | H | vs St Mirren | 1โ0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 2โ0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Livingston | 3โ0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Rangers | 0โ0 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Kilmarnock | 2โ1 | W |
Falkirk
| 3 Aug | H | vs Dundee Utd | 2โ2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Livingston | 1โ3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Aberdeen | 1โ0 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs St Mirren | 1โ2 | L |
| 23 Sept | H | vs Hibernian | 2โ2 | D |
Head to head
| 25 Apr 26 | CelticvsFalkirk | 3 โ 1 |
| 1 Feb 26 | CelticvsFalkirk | 2 โ 0 |
| 14 Jan 26 | FalkirkvsCeltic | 0 โ 1 |
| 29 Oct 25 | CelticvsFalkirk | 4 โ 0 |
Celtic: 4W 0D 0L in last 4
Model context
| Stat | Celtic (Home) | Falkirk (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.6% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 73.7% | 55.6% |
| Clean sheet | 47.4% | 27.8% |
| Avg goals | 3.05 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Celtic's home record; away stats use Falkirk's away record this season.